Analysts: Don't Believe the Political Polls

Ad Feedback

Recent polls show President Barack Obama with a sizeable lead over Republican contender Mitt Romney in key swing states.

But skeptics say the polls results are being skewed by the media to form inaccurate conclusions.

Experts like veteran pollster Dick Morris, former Bush advisor Karl Rove, and CBN News Political Analyst John Waage say "not so fast."

"Some of the state by state polls have shown a jump for Obama over Romney at a time when they were close. But a lot of people are saying, 'Wait a minute.' These polls are having a huge sampling, some say an oversampling of Democrats," Waage explained.

Democratic voter turnout was historically high four years ago, but Waage says these days, pollsters are still using models for states like Ohio and fForida based on 2008 numbers.

Click play to watch Mark Martin's report followed by more insight from CBN News Chief Political Correspondent David Brody.

"There's no real indication that the turnout from Democrats is going to be that high this election," he said. "So if you're oversampling Democrats, these polls are going to be skewed way off toward the president and away from Mitt Romney."

"The enthusiasm level is measured on things compared to 2008, where President Obama had unprecedented support from young people, from African Americans, from women voters. Those kinds of groups," Waage continued. "The turnout should be lower this time because there's disillusionment, a high unemployment in some of the urban African-American areas. Unemployment nationally is still bad after three-and-a-half years, and so that can't be good for the women's vote."

Breitbart.com columnist Mike Flyyn said, over the years, he hasn't bought into the argument that the polls are wrong. But he feels this year is different.

"The overwhelming majority of media polling this election employ such absurd assumptions about turnout this November that they not only misrepresent the presidential race, they are actively distorting it. I also believe it is intentional," he wrote in a recent post.

Some in the media are even writing columns that Romney should throw in the towel.

Waage says that's ridiculous.

"We haven't even had a debate yet. There are going to be three presidential and vice presidential debates. Let's not get ahead of ourselves here," Waage said. "Romney may be a bit behind in some of these key states, but it's very close at the national level."

"Give the voters time to take a look at both candidates competing against each other and see what they want to do," he added.

Log in or create an account to post a comment.  

CBN IS HERE FOR YOU!

Are you seeking answers in life? Are you hurting? Are you facing a difficult situation?

Find peace with God, discover more about God or send us your prayer request.

Call The 700 Club Prayer Center at 1 (800) 823-6053, 24 hours a day.

A caring friend will be there to pray with you in your time of need.

Mark Martin

Mark Martin

CBN News Reporter

Mark Martin is a reporter and anchor at CBN News, covering various issues from military matters to alternative fuels. Mark has reported internationally in the Middle East and traveled to Bahrain to cover stories on the U.S.S. Dwight D. Eisenhower. Follow Mark on Twitter @MarkMartinCBN and "like" him at Facebook.com/MarkMartinCBN.