Top DC Reporter Says It's 'Likely' Republicans Keep Control of the House This FallÂ
- Everybody is talkingabout this blue wave.
Based on your reporting, howlikely do you think that is
and what can republicans do,if anything, to blunt that?
- Well, it's as likely as it's not,
so the Cook Political Report,which I respect a lot.
Charlie Cook is a very respected,nonpartisan forecaster.
Their calculations are that if Republicans
have sort of a plus-six advantageheading into the midterms,
that's a pretty dangerousplace for them to be,
and we've been oscillatingback and forth in that range,
so the House is very much in play.
That's just a baseline.
Your Republicans have a great economy,
which is very much to their advantage,
but history would tell you thattheir chances are not great
because you have the presidentwho is of the same party
that controls both theHouse and the Senate.
If you just look at history,
there tends to be a pretty majorloss of seats in the House,
so I think you'd be foolishto make a confident prediction
one way or the other.
I think it's very likely that Republicans
actually hang on to the House.
I don't think it's adone deal by any stretch
because the economy is doing so well,
but Democrats like their chances.