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'Don't Bet Your Life on Riding out a Monster': Category 4 Florence Threatens Catastrophe

'Don't Bet Your Life on Riding out a Monster': Category 4 Florence Threatens Catastrophe Read Transcript


- Already a category four storm,

the National HurricaneCenter predicts the storm

will strengthen Wednesday night

as it moves toward the Carolina coast.

A hurricane hunter withthe National Oceanic and

Atmospheric Administrationflew through the eye

of Florence this week,capturing this video.

It is expected to weakensomewhat on Thursday,

but still predicted tobe an extremely dangerous

major hurricane whenit nears the US coast.

- If it does slow up, storm surge is going

to become a bigger problem,and also it's expected

to make landfall as a major hurricane.

Our track here showingit as a category three.

Still, we're thinkingFriday late or Friday night

into the start of the weekend.

Notice how it kind ofmeanders here off the coast,

and then once it does comeon shore, it is slow moving.

It goes down through a tropical storm

and then a tropical rain storm here,

and still Sunday and Monday sitting here

over parts of the south east.

So we could be dealing with historical,

catastrophic rainfallespecially in coastal parts

of North Carolina.

- National Weather Service officials warn

of the potential forunbelievable damage from wind,

storm surge and inlandflooding with this storm.

North Carolina's governoralso did not mince words.

- The waves, and the windthis storm may bring,

is like nothing you've ever seen.

- The governor urgedlocals not to hunker down,

but to leave.

- We need people to evacuate.

They're putting their own lives at risk,

as well as the lives of first responders.

- On the ground, millionsof people are evacuating.

CBN News reporter Eric Rosalesis headed for the storm zone.

- We're just outside ofDurham, North Carolina

and a number of commuterswho are heading out of town

are finding this: gas stations are simply

running out of gas or are low.

We did see a steady streamof people as we made our way

from Washington DC out to the Carolinas,

as they are continuing to make their way

and heeding the warningabout this historic storm

that is going to pound the Carolinas.

Many are relying on their faith.

- Oh yeah, I trust Him, He always has us

and I'm sure He's gonnakeep us throughout this.

My grandma's been prayingand she's been calling

from New Jersey and sothe kids are prepared.

- Thousands of disaster response crews

prepare for the worst.

In Virgina Beach, battalionchief Chris Ludford

with the Virginia Beach fire department,

told CBN News people near Sandbridge Beach

appear to be heedingthe evacuation orders.

- Absolutely overall, I get the sense,

especially the visitors.

- There are several threats associated

with Hurricane Florence.

Chief Ludford says hebelieves the biggest threat

for Sandbridge Beach and theBack Bay Wildlife Refuge,

is tidal flooding.

- And that coupled with standingwater due to heavy rains,

those are gonna be the two things

that we worry about most here.

- The National HurricaneCenter predicts as much as

two to three feet of rain in parts

of North and SouthCarolina which could lead

to catastrophic flash flooding.

Mark Martin, CBN News.

- With us now via Skype, is Joe Bastardi.

He's the chief forecasterfor WeatherBell Analytics.

And Joe, have you got any take

on where that thing is headed now?

- Well, we've been forecastingthis since actually,

September 2nd, we alertedour clients to this threat.

September 5th we had jumped on this to

do the overall pattern inthe north west Atlantic.

There's something going oncalled the "Newfoundland Wheel."

It's a big, high pressure system there.

The old timers know about it; that's why

we had so many hurricanesback in the fifties

hitting the easternseaboard because you have

predominately high pressureover the north west Atlantic

during the hurricane season, so we've seen

this general type of pattern before.

Of course, every storm isa little bit different,

so every storm has adifferent twist to it.

This is taking what myfather, who's a meteorologist,

and he's 89 years youngnow, called "the shortcut."

In other words, instead of coming west

and then turning north,this is coming directly in

from the south east andthere have been storms

like this that have done this before.

Isabelle, for instance, in 2003 did this.

We also saw Gracie in 1959 do this.

So this storm, as far asthe track to Cape Fear,

which is what my company'shad since last Wednesday,

is not unprecedented in the general sense.

What happens after thatthough, and where we changed

our forecast this morning,was when it gets to Cape Fear,

it stalls around there andthen starts south west.

Why--Because the high inthe Atlantic breaks down

and a new upper air ridgedevelops over the Great Lakes,

so it literally pushes itback to the south west,

to a point where eventhough this would weaken

in the coastal waters,moving south westward

toward Savannah and Charleston,

it would still be a big hurricaneand batter those places.

Now let me talk to folks directly

around Wilmington, Cape Fear.

You've got to get out of there.

Because this is not likeHugo, not like Hazel,

not like these stormsthat just move through.

Floyd--Remember it movedthrough in 12 hours.

This is gonna stay for two days.

And you're gonna be under a siege there

from tomorrow afternoon into Friday night

and perhaps Saturday morning,where there's nothing

but a relentless poundingof wind and heavy rain.

So, you have to heedthese evacuation orders.

This is where this is uniqueand that it's stalling

in that particular area andthen backing south west.

We've seen storms back south west before,

for instance the Yankee storm in 1935

originating near Bermudawound up hitting at Miami.

So, we've seen storms that have done that

but not in close to the coast like this,

so this is for the areasthat get hit directly,

this is your Harvey, your Katrina

and you should take it that way.

- How long is Florence goingto affect the eastern US?

- Well, I still think,our track takes it inland

between Savannah andCharleston, believe it or not

Sunday night, and then we have it back

toward Atlanta Monday and thentrying to loop back around,

and the remnants of this maycome off the mid-Atlantic

or south Atlantic coast in about 10 days.

When it gets there--Therain threatened Virginia.

Up in Virginia is probably when this gets

up into the mountains andthat's six, seven days away.

But it's going to loop all the way through

the south eastern states,come up the west side

of the mountains and thentrying to come across.

I'm sure you remember what Camille did--

And when Camille in '69hit, and then it hit those

mountains in Virginia and West Virginia,

you had 20 to 30 inches of rain up there,

three days after the storm hit.

So we're concerned about that option too.

You gotta realize folks, this has brought

all this moisture, all theway from Africa across.

The sea surface temperatures

in the western Atlanticare warmer than normal,

so there's an immenseamount of water coming in,

and this storm, we'regonna have to watch it

until the very end.

A week from now, we may still be talking

about the remnants of this storm.

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