- Welcome, folks, to thisedition of the 700 Club.
It's said to be thethird most powerful storm
ever to hit the United States,
not just southern Florida, but the US,
and we want to ask a man who's an expert,
what does this mean about the future?
Where'd it come from?
How come it came?
And are we gonna have atough winter because of it?
That's the story, but this devastation,
we don't know the full extent,
but it's gonna be in thebillions and billions of dollars.
You see pictures out ofthe Florida Panhandle
and it's just horrible what happened.
That storm, it was just devastating.
It tore up an Air Force baseand it's moving up, of course,
into Georgia, and Alabama,and then into the Carolinas,
and it'll come up this way andit's moving very, very fast.
- Well, at least two people have died
and Florida Governor RickScott says that priority now
is rescuing any survivors
that might be trapped in their homes.
As Jenna Browder shows us,
Tropical Storm Michaelis still on the move.
- Hurricane Michael torethrough the Florida Panhandle,
leaving behind a path of destruction
as it headed north toGeorgia and the Carolinas.
- [Man] It's gonna go, it's gonna go.
- [Jenna] 155 mile perhour winds sent the roof
of this hotel crashing down.
- It was terrifying, honestly.
- [Jenna] And dronevideo shows this school
torn apart by the storm.
The high winds tore housesfrom their foundations
and uprooted trees.
Flood waters from the stormsurge filling the streets.
- The dumbest thing I'veever done, 77 years,
is to stay through a hurricane.
When they say evacuateagain, I'm outta here.
- [Jenna] Michael also ripped through
parts of Georgia and Alabama.
Now a tropical storm,
it's moving north toward the Carolinas,
raising concerns of moreflooding and deadly tornadoes.
- We're talking about a muchweakened Michael right now,
a tropical storm thatis jetting its way off
toward the north end ofeast at 21 miles per hour,
but the impacts are far from finished.
We're still talking about gusty winds
and even some storm surge flooding here
throughout the big bend
as we're looking at oneto three foot storm surge.
Also, here to the coast ofCarolinas with the onshore flow,
that potential of one to threefoot storm surge as well.
- [Jenna] Michael came so fast,
many people didn't evacuate in time.
In Florida, efforts are now focused
on saving those still in danger.
- As Hurricane Michaelcontinues its destructive path
through the panhandleand leaves our state,
we're turning 100% of our focus
on search and rescue and recovery.
- [Jenna] The storm also topof mind for President Trump.
- I want to send our thoughts and prayers
of our entire nation
to everyone in the pathof Hurricane Michael,
especially in the Florida Panhandle
where it's hitting and hitting hard.
- Amid the destruction,CBN's Operation Blessing
is on the ground, preparingto bring relief to victims.
Just to put Michael into perspective,
it was the third largest hurricane
to ever hit the U.S. mainland
and the largest hurricane toimpact the Florida Panhandle.
Joe Bastardi is chief forecasterfor WeatherBELL Analytics.
Joe, thank you so much for being with us.
You were a little prescient in this one.
You forecast somethingbad was gonna happen.
How'd you know about it?
- Well, this is what I wasmade to do, and you know,
I always tell people thefoundation you stand on today
was built yesterday to reach for tomorrow,
and if you study weather patterns,
and, look, I have no lifebesides the good Lord,
my family, and the weather, right?
So, this is all I do.
If you go back and look at the past,
you can see the setupsfor these kind of things,
and back on July 16th,excuse me, September,
well, first of all pre-season forecasts
called for a big enclosed season.
In other words, very littleactivity in the areas
that got hit down inthe Caribbean last year,
but all further north, and you see where
all the storms are going,
they're all further north this year.
And so what happens is this,
when we get closer on September 16th,
I'm on the air with people, saying,
I'll see you in October.
There's going to be somethingcoming out of the Caribbean
up into the Gulf of Mexico,and I'll be on again.
And when we got to aboutten days, twelve days away,
well, actually, September 20th,
modeling was showing thatthe activity in the tropics,
in the global tropical activity,
would shift into thePacific and Atlantic basin,
Eastern, Pacific and Atlantic,
so you could see this stuff moving across
and once we put that together,
we started warning our clients,
and then we saw the bigridge build up again
over the northeast United States.
Alberto, Gordon, and Florenceall came in when that ridge
went up over the northeastand into southeast Canada.
This is known as the NewfoundlandWheel by the old timers.
I guess I'm getting to be one of them,
63, and the men that came before me,
well, they taught me this,
that whenever you get high pressure built
in the northwest Atlantic andthe northeastern United States
in the hurricane season, folks,
what has to happen underneath?
Think about it.
There's gonna be a reduction of pressure,
and when the pressure isreduced in a large scale
over that warm water, you'regonna get development.
So it was right there, so what happened?
By Sunday, we were forecastinga major hurricane hit
on the Florida Panhandle.
So we had a three,perhaps a category four,
going into Florida from then,
it was hardly even atropical storm at that time.
We did the same thingwith Sandy, by the way,
October 21 had that and the reason is,
it's nothing magical about it,
it has to do with trying to discern
the longterm patterns,understanding what happened before,
what's going on now, matching them up
and then use the great tools
that science has developed
to try to help us inseeing things like this.
So that's what we did.
It gets very frustrating, as you know,
there's all sorts of distractions today.
The world is full of noise,right, so there's noise
about the Supreme Courtnomination Sunday and Monday.
So the media's not paying attention.
Tuesday, Niki Haley resigns,
media's, oh yeah there'sa hurricane down there.
Yesterday of course, yousaw the market crash 800,
and so by the time thehurricane made landfall
you see the media goingto the market, right?
So what happens is,
I think, that a lot of peoplegot caught by surprise.
What happens when there's a surprise?
You gotta go look for something to blame;
who do you blame?
It all just keeps movingalong in the same circle,
and so, you know, maybeI'm just one of these guys
that looks at linkage.
Actually, this is shameless advertisement,
I have a book out calledThe Climate Chronicles
that describes what'sgoing on today with this.
Very little about this
is actually about science and weather;
most of it is about other things.
And that's what you see with these storms.
- Joe, I want to ask yousomething about the winter,
does this have anythingto do with the fact
that we may have acolder than usual winter?
Or more mild, what does it say?
- Yes, and I'll tell you why;
I actually put this on Twitter.
You know, people, withmy site, Weather Bell,
they see all this stuff that's going on,
but my professors at Penn State
when I was back there in the 70's said,
you have to explainthe why before the what
so when it happens, people know why.
You gotta tell 'em before.
What happens is this, folks,
the same oscillations in the ocean
that you will see in September and October
cause enhanced tropical cyclone activity,
what we call theMadden-Julian oscillation,
it's not the ocean, it'sindirectly caused by the oceans,
and the state of the oceans.
If that repeats itself in the winter,
the same pattern that is causing this now
repeats itself in the winter,
what'll happen is thewinter gets cold and stormy.
So let's go back and look
at when there were major hurricanes
from Florida into theGulf of Mexico in October.
You line up those years, you look;
it's got a cold winter.
The fact of the matteris that back last winter,
we saw something go on, and we said,
look, there's gonna bewhat we call Mendocino Niño
for the next winter, sothis is nine months away.
Predict a big rainfallseason in California
in March and April, hencethe wildfire season.
You grow a lot of stuff
in California 'cause of a lot of rain,
it dries out;
they get big wildfires.
It also meant a hot summer, right?
So we have all this, we movefrom one thing to another,
we went wildfires, summer,the hurricane season
all point at this cold, stormy winter
because all I do is line uppast years when that happens.
So we'll see if it happens;
only God knows tomorrow.
The rest of us, that'sabsolute, you guys, hey listen,
you know what, it's a humility thing
so the atmosphere teaches you that
and it's a good tool for it.
- Joe, you're terrific, thank you so much.
- Bye, guys, thanks for having me.
- Joe Bastardi, ladies and gentlemen.
Hey, you better hold ontoyour fur coat, though,
PETA not withstanding
- You know, because itmay be a very cold winter.
So, that's interesting, isn't it?
- It's fascinating.
- It is a very distinctive study.
- Joe knew that thing was coming
and nobody else, they all said,
well as he said, therewas so much in the news,
there was Kavanaugh, there wasthis, and that, and the other
and the stock market took a dip,
and so they weren't listening.
- But now it's too late,but it was devastating.
The third worst in thehistory of the United States.
I mean that middle barwent down and so forth,
but, I don't know, we haven't had a chance
to get people really out on the scene
to find out the full extent of the damage
and how much the recovery's gonna cost.
I saw some figures, there were about
800,000 or 900,000 people without power
and they were adding them up because
there'll be Alabama, there'll be Georgia,
and maybe even North Carolina.
- Well, and this kind ofdevastation isn't something
that it ends and youjust fix it and recover.
I mean, you're talking about a long time.
- Well, Operation Blessingis gonna be down there
and recovery will take years,
but our our Operation Blessingis already setting up to help
and John Jessup has that.
- That's right, Pat.
CBN's Operation Blessing teamsare on the scene in Florida
meeting with pastors and churches
to coordinate volunteerefforts to help those in need.
Here's OB's Tom Wiley from the Panhandle.
- I'm Tom Wiley with OperationBlessing disaster relief.
We sent an advanced teamhere just yesterday,
starting in Pensacola
and we've been makingour way to Panama City
to assess the damage of this hurricane.
Operation Blessing disaster relief
is staging equipment, andpeople, and other resources
as we look at coming into this area
to help the residentsaffected by this storm.
We've been driving downnumerous highways today,
weaving through downedtrees and downed power lines
and seeing the damage firsthand.
This area has been hard hit.
- Well, we've noticed a lot of trees down,
power lines down, metal flyin,a truck liftin off the ground
and we're just scared to death, man.
- Operation Blessing will continue
to work with our ministry partners
to get down into this area,to get to the right place
to provide the right amount assistance
for the families and communitiesaffected by this disaster.
If you'd like to learnmore about volunteering,
please visit Operation Blessing's website
God bless you.
- Pat, Operation Blessing,always delivering timely
and much needed help.
- So they've got a mobile kitchen
and they want to feed asmuch as 2,000 meals a day.
We've got a constructiontrailer filled with tools
to be used by volunteers tohelp hurricane victims rebuild,
two box trucks full ofemergency relief supplies,
and I know it's, you know,it's not as much as you'd like,
but we're there sometimesin the point of urgent need
to help people.
So if you want to help in this time,
you can send your, quote,"thoughts and prayers"
as the president said,
but we can also sendsome money and help them.
And it's Disaster Relief Fund,
CBN Center, Virginia Beach, VA
And we don't wait for somebureaucracy to tell us
to do it, we just do it right away.
We work with churches, we workthrough relief organizations,
'cause people in thepanhandle are, listen folks,
They will have lost everything;
you look at those pictures
they're absolutely devastating.
- Pat, in economic news,
Wall Street is hoping that theworst of a brutal correction
will soon be over.
Wednesday sell offmarks five straight days
stocks have been down.
The dow fell 830 points a little over 3%,
the S&P 500 was down just overthree and a quarter percent,
and the technology heavyNASDAQ took the biggest hit,
plunging more than 4%.
Some analysts are blamingrising interests rates
for the sell off.
President Trump blastedthe Federal Reserve
for raising those rates and, Pat,
other analysts say the marketwas due for correction.
- It has been keeping therates artificially low
for so many years, theyhad to bring them up,
but, I'm telling you,it's, it's really tough,
but remember that big, big market crash
about a quarter of the Dow went down,
I mean, this is 3%,
so I mean, it's not the end of the world.
It just sounds like a lot of numbers
because the Dow is up so big,
it's 26, 27, 28,000 points
and you lose 800 out of that,
it's not as much as 3%.
- You think it'll correct pretty quickly?
- I hope so, I thinkthe economy's so strong,
and I think that those techcompanies have just gone crazy
Amazon, and Netflix, and theseothers have gone up so high,
and they were due for acorrection, google and others,
I mean, they're just,what do they call it;
There's so many, but do I think so?
I would say yes, I think we'll have it,
but the economy is basically strong,
you couldn't have askedfor anything better
in terms of employment, theunemployment is at record lows.
Black unemployment, Hispanic unemployment,
it's really a, well,we'll see what happens.
We've got less than 30 daysfor the midterm elections,
a lot of stuff's going on.