Holy Smokes: Huckabee Leads in Iowa
November 28, 2007
Do we have a new frontrunner in Iowa? The last Rasmussen Poll shows that Mike Huckabee now leads Mitt Romney in Iowa. It looks like we have a political version of David and Goliath going on. Huckabee, with his limited budget is starring in the role of David. Mitt Rommey, with all his money and time invested in Iowa is the Goliath. Read below from Rasmussen. He calls it a stunning change:
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of the Iowa caucus finds former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee with 28% of the vote, former Massachusetts Governor Mitt Romney with 25% support, and everyone else far behind.
National frontrunner Rudy Giuliani gets just 12% of the vote in Iowa at this time while former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson is the only other candidate in double digits at 11%. Given the margin of error, the challenges of determining the relatively small number of people who will participate in a caucus, and other factors, the race is far too close to call at this point in time. However, the fact that Romney is no longer the clear frontrunner in Iowa reflects a stunning change in the race.
Compared to our prior survey, the trend is unmistakable-Huckabee has gone up and just about everybody else has gone down. Huckabee's 28% support represents a twelve point increase from a Rasmussen Reports poll conducted earlier in the month. Romney is down four points while Giuliani and Thompson are each down three points from the previous survey. John McCain is down two points and earns just 4% support. Ron Paul picked up a point and is now at the 5% level.
Forty-eight percent of Evangelical Christians support Hucakbee. That's more than all the other candidates combined. Romney attracts 16% of the Evangelical vote.
Read the poll results here.
Did you catch the Evangelical number? That's called 'lapping the field.' Let's think about this for a moment. If Huckabee actually wins Iowa, then he gets the slingshot effect going into New Hampshire. With his sunny personality, non-threatening manners, humor, and media-savvy skills - anything is possible.
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