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Erick Stakelbeck

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Stakelbeck on Terror

 

 

August 9, 2005

Terrorists May Seek Soft Targets in America

It's a nightmare scenario, and I'm surprised, above all relieved, that it hasn't materialized like many thought it would following 9/11. A Middle Eastern man dressed in baggy Western attire straps explosives underneath his Gap jacket and strolls into a large indoor shopping mall in Iowa. It's mid-November, just before the Christmas shopping season officially kicks off, and the stores are already packed. By the time mall security notices the 24-year-old man's strange behavior and nervous gestures, it's too late. Dozens of casualties later, and it's clear that America has entered into a new and frightening stage in the war on terror.

Unable to pull off spectacular attacks in places such as New York City and Washington, D.C., al-Qaeda has decided to resort to a tactic that may be even more damaging to the American psyche: hitting small targets in the American heartland.

Besides the obvious psychological effect, such tactics would also have an economic impact--at least in the short term. There has never been a more resilient nation than the United States. Still, many Americans would undoubtedly be reluctant to go out to the mall, and some would also stay away from movie theatres, restaurants, and any other crowded venues in the event of such an attack.

With this in mind, it was interesting to read a piece in today's Wall Street Journal detailing government agencies' belief that "malls, banks, prominent companies, and tall buildings" are the soft targets most at risk of terrorist attacks, most likely by suicide bombers. The U.S. is home to 1,200 indoor malls, according to the WSJ article. Wisely, the mall industry has turned to the Israelis for help in plotting a security strategy.

This excerpt from the Journal article explains why:

"Over the years, the Israelis have developed a sophisticated security system to protect enclosed shopping centers. The cornerstone of the Israeli strategy is to deny a bomber entrance to the mall by creating layers of defenses from paramilitary sentries to watchmen trained to recognize the behavior patterns of people about to blow themselves up. To date, there never has been a successful breach of an Israeli shopping mall by a suicide bomber despite more than a hundred attempts. The most recent took place on July 12, when a suicide bomber attempted to attack the Hasharon Mall in the coastal town of Netanya, 25 miles north of Tel Aviv. Israeli authorities say the bomber was deterred by the police and security guards in front of the mall and blew himself up at a crosswalk near the entrance, killing four passersby and wounding 90. The attack was considered blunted because a detonation inside the mall would have claimed many more lives."

My admiration for the Israeli people's ability to go about their daily business in the face of such terrorist madness is boundless. While I have absolutely no doubt that Americans would have the same gritty response, I pray that we never have to find out.

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